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Thick Hides .. But For How Long? – Struggles of the Bangladesh Leather Industry

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LightCastle Analytics Wing
July 2, 2020
Thick Hides .. But For How Long? – Struggles of the Bangladesh Leather Industry

What’s on the Table?

The Bangladesh Leather Industry has been one that has shown glimmers of promises over the years. It is worth around USD 1.90 billion with 40% of the total demand being met from imports. [1] It is the second-largest export sector for Bangladesh. In addition to this, the quality of exported leather is generally lauded by foreign buyers. Despite this, the industry has failed to develop into a thrust sector on par with Apparel & Ready Made Garments. 

Around 155 tanneries are present in Bangladesh.[2] However, it is estimated that at least 40% of the supply of raw-hide comes from the seasonal peak during the time of Eid-ul-Adha.[3]. Around 85% of leather and leather products exported are in the form of crushed leather, blue wet leather, finished leather, leather garments, and footwear.[1]

The value chain of leather products is a long-winded one which prevents easy scaling-up for businesses in the sector without investing heavily on capital and workforce training.

FIGURE: Bangladesh Leather Industry Value Chain / SOURCE: Research Gate[4]

Problems More Than Just Skin-Deep

Environmental Concerns and Issues with the Savar Tannery Park

Compliance with global standards of workplace and work-environment safety has been a persistent problem with the industry that has bored down on export revenue targets. Some foreign buyers have suspended importing leather and leather products from Bangladesh due to the failures in compliance with environmental standards. In response to this problem, many firms relocated to the Savar area from Hazaribagh (the former heart of the industry) on grounds of avoiding further pollution of the Buriganga River. A Central Effluent Treatment Plant (CETP) has been established in Savar to further meet compliance standards.

The relocation process had begun in 2003 with an estimated cost of BDT 175.75 crore, excluding the cost of CETP.[5] However, implementation is not yet complete of the Savar Tannery Park and it is expected that it will not be able to meet the requirements of the peak seasonal fluctuation during Eid time.

The raison d’etre of the relocation itself seems to be in question, with the Savar tanneries releasing both liquid and solid waste into the neighbouring Dhaleshwari River.

The Park Design is now being adjusted as per the requirements of the Leather Working Group (LWG), a platform comprising brands, manufacturers, suppliers, NGOs and end-users dedicated to developing and maintaining, and assessing environmental compliance as well as performance capabilities of leather manufacturers. 


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Declining Export Demand

COVID-19 has significantly hit the already declining exports of the sector. The low number of work orders has meant that only 30% of the 155 established tanneries at Savar are currently operational.[2] Demand from foreign buyers like China remains stipulated with low asking prices which are not conducive to profits for the tanneries. Significant credit crunches for the sector have meant that the industry must rely on government support to help them through this period of turbulence.

    FIGURE: Bangladesh Leather Industry Exports / SOURCE: Export Promotion Bureau; The Daily Star

Short-Run Lifelines or Long-Run Expenses?

The Bangladesh Tanners Association (BTA) has recently sought BDT 600 Crore from the government to smoothen the impact of the capital crisis in the country.[2] In addition to this, a moratorium to previous loan payments was also sought.

A recent Bangladesh Bank circular has now provided a lifeline to the industry through a new loan rescheduling scheme. Defaulting tanners will be allowed to reschedule their classified loans by making a downpayment of 2 percent, and take fresh loans to purchase rawhides of sacrificial animals in the upcoming Eid-ul-Adha. The payback tenure is 6-8 years for these types of loans.
In addition, the problem with tanneries being unable to avail the benefits of the stimulus package due to its stringent criteria has been somewhat eased as they will now be able to take loans from the package designated for industries at 5% interest[6]

It has been proposed that the price of raw-hides in the Eid season may be fixed to allow the tanneries to earn sufficiently. The Bangladesh Bank also asked the banks to be flexible in taking collateral from leather industry entrepreneurs against their loans and provide loans on a priority basis. 

The Bangladesh Trade and Tariff Commission has proposed prices of cow rawhides fixed at BDT30-BDT40 per square feet and those of goats at BDT15-25 per square feet. Last year, the prices of rawhides of cows and goats were BDT45-50 and BDT18-20 respectively.[6]

FIGURE: Cow & Goat Raw-Hide Prices during Eid Ul Adha / SOURCE: The Business Standard

Though such preferential treatment may allow the industry to survive and stay afloat, there is a cause for concern regarding the implications of these benefits on long term loan defaults for the industry. Currently, defaults in the sector amounted to about BDT 32.5 billion, most of which are long-term debts. This is a glaring statistic as the disbursed loans to the industry are a little over estimated BDT40 billion. State-owned commercial banks account for 90% of the bad debt.[7]

FIGURE: Loans to the Leather Sector / SOURCE:The Financial Express 

Allowing for less stringent loans to a sector already so submerged in defaulting debt may be risky and may cause further problems for the country’s already suffering banking sector. The Loan Rescheduling facility is government-secured and in the case of defaults, may raise external debt further on top of the already-high budget deficit figure for the FY 20-21. Care must be taken if we are to avoid spiralling into another financial crisis. 

The Way Forward

The way ahead for the sector is one that must be deliberated extensively before implementation. However, there are certain key areas to prioritize.

  • The prompt completion of the Savar Park and the LWG certification of compliance for the CETP will be essential in garnering foreign buyer demand and having competitive international prices. This will allow the sector to perhaps finally reap the long-overdue benefits from the US-China Trade War.
  • The Vietnamese Leather and Footwear Industry’s example can be followed by Bangladesh. The Vietnamese industry boasts a strong competency of its labor force all the while holding on to cost-competitiveness. This suggests that upskilling in the sector and/or automation may be the way forwards. In addition to this, Vietnam also holds a number of free trade agreements with its footwear export destinations. Such deals may benefit the Bangladesh leather industry in the long term as there is a threat of losing out on preferential tariff facilities upon graduation from Least Developed Country(LDC) status.
  • There must be stricter regulations on defaulting firms in the sector and the government must crack down swiftly on them. Credit rating and loan-worthiness can be re-examined and updated if the rate of defaults does not decrease.
  • Government policy to shorten the number of backward and forward linkages in the industry’s value chain may allow the industry to be more efficient and have more competitive prices for foreign buyers and end-users. Developing an integrated production chain from raw materials to finished products, including common facilities and supply/support services may be considered.

Sartaz Zahir, Content Writer at LightCastle Partners, has prepared the write-up. For further clarifications, contact here: [email protected].

– The article is based on data collected from before this year’s Eid al Adha

References


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WRITTEN BY: LightCastle Analytics Wing

At LightCastle, we take a systemic and data-driven approach to create opportunities for growth and impact. We are an international management consulting firm which creates systemic and data-driven opportunities for growth and impact in emerging markets. By collaborating with development partners and leveraging the power of the private sector, we strive to boost economies, inspire businesses, and change lives at scale.

For further clarifications, contact here: [email protected]

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