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US/Israel–Iran Conflict: Implications for Bangladesh’s Logistics Across Key Sectors 

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LightCastle Partners
March 18, 2026
US/Israel–Iran Conflict: Implications for Bangladesh’s Logistics Across Key Sectors 

The earlier sections of this article examined the conflict’s origin and its impact on oil and gas markets. This section turns to a consequence no less critical for Bangladesh; and, in many respects, more immediately disruptive to its businesses and trade operators: the breakdown of logistics infrastructure. Unlike energy prices, which may take time to transmit through the broader economy, the disruptions to shipping routes and marine insurance markets affects exporters, importers, and freight operators in real time.

the breakdown of logistics infrastructure in bangladesh

Bangladesh’s vulnerability to these shocks is largely structural. The country’s export base, led by ready-made garments, relies on sea routes that traverse or, at least, skirt the Gulf. It also relies on major Gulf hub airports to transport time-sensitive cargo, such as perishable food products by air. Against this backdrop, the analysis here explores the implications across four key domains: seaport operations, air cargo logistics, domestic operations pressures, and the broader ripple effects on major sectors of the economy.

International Shipping Caught in the Crossfire

Sea Freight Disruptions

The response from global shipping carriers was swift and far-reaching, with direct consequences for Bangladesh’s seaport operations. All five of the world’s largest container carriers including MSC, Maersk, CMA CGM issued suspension or rerouting directives within 24 hours of the strikes. 

The combined effect of the Middle East crisis and the Red Sea’s pre-existing instability deterred container lines from returning to the Suez Canal. Instead, they are routing vessels around the Cape of Good Hope, extending transit times, eroding schedule reliability, and raising operational costs due to increased fuel consumption and higher insurance premiums. For Bangladeshi exporters, this has added around 2 weeks to voyages bound for Europe and the US East Coast. 

global shipping carriers was swift and far-reaching, with direct consequences for Bangladesh’s seaport operations

Chittagong Port, which handled a record 3.29 million TEUs [1] in FY25 and serves as Bangladesh’s primary trade gateway, is now bearing the brunt of the ongoing logistical setbacks. Over 1,000 containers of frozen fish, processed food, and plastic goods now languish at the port and coastal facilities, awaiting dispatch.

Chittagong Port, which handled a record 3.29 million TEUs [1] in FY25 and serves as Bangladesh’s primary trade gateway

Air Freight Disruptions

Bangladesh’s logistics strains have extended beyond maritime routes and into air freight. Around 60% of the country’s air cargo typically transits through Middle Eastern hubs; but with flights to these destinations largely suspended, airlines operating routes to the United States and Europe are increasingly rerouting shipments through secondary hubs in China, Malaysia, and Hong Kong. These detours inflate both cost and transit time, often exceeding the acceptable tolerance window for perishable goods.

Bangladesh’s logistics strains have extended beyond maritime routes and into air freight.

Associated Freight Costs, Surcharges & War-risk Insurance

The financial escalation across Bangladesh’s logistics cost base is multi-layered, with carrier surcharges, base rate hikes, and insurance premium spikes operating simultaneously and compounding one another. On the container side, spot rates from Shanghai to Jebel Ali in Dubai more than doubled from $1,800 to above $4,000 [1]per FEU in a matter of days following the conflict’s onset. Furthermore, major marine war-risk providers cancelled Protection and Indemnity (P&I) coverage for vessels in the Persian Gulf, making transit economically untenable for most ship owners regardless of their willingness to operate.

Associated Freight Costs, Surcharges & War-risk Insurance Chart

Local Disruption Across Road & Inland Transport Networks

The fuel crisis is rapidly translating into a structural breakdown in road haulage capacity. Freight rates on the Dhaka – Chattogram corridor surged by approximately 56% [1] in a single day, with comparable increases recorded across other major routes. The underlying driver is acute diesel scarcity at the pumps: trucks requiring 140–160 litres per round trip are receiving allocations of only 20–50 litres, rendering a significant proportion of the fleet non-operational for long-haul purposes.

This contraction in available truck capacity has materially halted flows of vegetables, fish, and poultry from regional production hubs to Dhaka — commodities with tight spoilage windows. Traders, fearing losses from delayed deliveries, are being compelled to absorb elevated freight premiums to secure the limited options for vehicles still in operation. Market participants broadly anticipate that these elevated logistics costs will manifest in near-term retail price inflation in the capital, with lower-income urban households disproportionately exposed.

Sectoral Exposure: Where the Logistics Shock Lands

The logistics disruption does not affect all sectors of Bangladesh’s economy uniformly. Impact severity correlates with sectoral reliance on the now-compromised sea and air corridors — whether for outbound exports, inbound raw material procurement, or energy-dependent domestic operations. The matrix below maps each major sector against its primary logistics dependency, the specific risks that have materialized, and an assessment of overall exposure.

Sectoral Exposure: Where the Logistics Shock Lands

References

  • Bangladesh Freight Forwarders Association. Industry updates and logistics data on freight movement and supply chain disruptions in Bangladesh.
  • The Loadstar. Coverage and analysis of global shipping disruptions, container rate changes, and maritime route adjustments.
  • The Financial Express. Reporting on Bangladesh’s freight rates, fuel shortages, and supply chain disruptions affecting transport corridors.
  • The Daily Star. News coverage on Bangladesh trade flows, export sector developments, and logistics bottlenecks.

Author

This article has been authored by Naziba Ali, a Business Consultant at LightCastle Partners. For further inquiries or clarifications, please contact: info@lightcastlepartners.com 


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WRITTEN BY: LightCastle Partners

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